Following the October 16 Finance and Trade Economics, CASS Institute issued a forecast price of the said: Indeed, fewer and fewer people. But no matter whether the result of scientific rigor, but it is clear that in the field of finance and trade successes of Finance and Trade Economics, but also to disturb the excitement of the real estate market, which shows housing prices in this area all the eye effect in China . Think of last name of Price who are not open around the topic.
weird for 2009 the trend in terms of price, forecasting prices in China in fact is a very embarrassing thing. In March of this year before the house even the most resolute advocate who did not expect the tumultuous year in the global economy will become the hottest real estate market in the year, second-hand housing transaction volume is the sum of the bull market over the past three years, and even not to believe their own Development and Reform Commission that 70 large and medium cities and Statistics (including himself) to a lifetime of ridicule, no one thought in 2009 the housing market hot this point, because no one thought of the , but no one thought a lot of credit funds in the bank with, developers cover under the policy of appeasement local government brazenly into the property market, property market in Europe stumble endlessly case has created the miracle of the property market.
not only price difficult to predict is the future of real estate policy, has become a interest demands a very complex situation, the real estate late last year introduced preferential policies for the central, whether left, or right, and different expectations of stakeholders which is obviously different. developers and local governments look forward to continuation of the policy, in order to maintain the prosperity of the market situation; people look to the government through the recovery of preferential policies to suppress prices to the market swinging back. if only from the common sense is concerned, I certainly support the Government through policy regulation and control, asset bubbles in advance squeeze the release of the banking system financial risks, and to facilitate return of the real estate market rationality. However, the Chinese real estate market regulation policy trajectory tells us, through the so-called price-control policies to promote the reunification never self-denial, control policies begun in 2005, showing a more control the more embarrassing skyrocketing trend of policy not only failed to control prices, but was interest group or to improve the type of housing credit policy, are all on the real estate consumer's point of view, such a policy, if strictly identified and implemented, the beneficiary should be the ordinary people, this year's popular second-hand housing market performance have shown, for such preferential policies, I believe that not only should not be canceled, and should be further improved to form a regular, institutionalized in the policy system.
Wang said the Chinese property market is the policy of the city, on the moment if these words Context interpretation, does the phrase. but only half right, in the interests of the game complex cases, in almost all central authorities have introduced the policy of the property market bubble extrusion, the basic declaration of failure to stimulate the property market will lead to all are facing the industry inflection point. However, the most irrational of human policy and local government to make peace between the complicated and real estate, when prices become a footnote to local interests and slaves, forecasting prices will always be an opportunity for academic Mongolia the embarrassment of shame.
North said it well: the system is not necessarily or even often not designed in accordance with social efficiency, on the contrary, they are to serve those with bargaining power to create new rules created by interest groups. return to common sense, I still firmly believe that the real estate market is at a crossroads, extraordinary real estate boom has given way to an enormous accumulation of bubbles and risks. But the case of complex interests of the game, simply can not rely on the policy choices about the real estate market trends. The crux of the real estate market is not whether the preferential policies, but rather whether the Government can sell to survive out of the pattern of benefits. is not completely out of the land around the mode of existence and interests of financial disputes, regardless of whether the continued preferential policies , can not cure the chaos of the Chinese real estate market, prices can hardly be a reasonable return.
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